With the Wembley Stadium final in sight, the EFL Cup semifinal race is heating up. Arsenal beat Chelsea over two legs, and now it’s time for Manchester City to finish the job. Pep Guardiola’s squad won the first match 2-0 away, and will be looking to finish it up tonight.
Our Man City vs Newcastle betting tips will present the best picks for tonight’s game. It’s Pep Guardiola vs Eddie Howe at the Etihad – which team will be crowned Carabao Cup 2026 finalists?
Etihad Stadium Match Preview – Man City vs Newcastle
| Feature | Details |
| Competition | Carabao Cup (semi-final, 2nd leg) |
| Date | Wednesday, February 4, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Etihad Stadium, Manchester |
| Moneyline | City @ -127; Newcastle @ +330 |
Note: Odds provided by BetPlays and subject to change.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Preview
Unlike in the Premier League, Manchester City are in the driving seat for the Carabao Cup semi-final predictions. The Citizens enter the match as huge favorites and have the upper hand thanks to a 0-2 victory almost a month ago. This time, City welcomes Newcastle to the Etihad for the second leg, where it’ll have huge home advantage.
As the defending champion, Newcastle needs a miracle to survive. City has history on its side. The team has lost only once in 17 home matches, and has progressed in the last six Carabao Cup semi-finals. Even worse news for the Magpies – City has lifted the trophy on each occasion.
Quality-wise, City has the upper hand, even if Newcastle’s squad is strong. Despite the missing Rayan Cherki, Guardiola has numerous quality players in each position, including new arrivals Marc Guehi and Antoine Semenyo. The Manchester City vs Newcastle odds tell a similar story, putting the Citizens well ahead of the Magpies in favorite terms.
Thanks to Antoine Semenyo’s form, Guehi’s strong defensive performances, and the world-class frontline, City has a strong chance to progress and set up a final against Arsenal.
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Both City and Newcastle are missing players, but have proper substitutes to cover these positions. City is looking likely to start Semenyo and Erling Haaland. The missing players for Manchester include Jeremy Doku, Kovacic, Gvardiol, Stones, and Savinho, in addition to Cherki and Ruben Dias. However, most of these players won’t have a major impact on the Man City vs Newcastle betting tips – the Citizens are still a favorite.
For Newcastle, the team will be sorely missing Bruno Guimaraes, but has Sven Botman back. Predicted lineups will see Anthony Gordon start up front. He’s a strong pick for scoring if Newcastle can find the net, as he netter twice against City in the past couple of years. Joelinton, Livramento, and Schar will all miss tonight’s game for Eddie Howe’s team.
Predicted lineups:
- City: Trafford; Ake; Alleyne; Khusanov; Nunes; Rodri; Semenyo; O’Reilly; Silva; Foden; Haaland
- Newcastle: Pope; Trippier; Thiaw; Burn; Hall; Willock; Tonali; Ramsey; Elanga; Wissa; Gordon
Head-to-Head (H2H) & Form
Manchester City has won 17 out of the last 18 meetings at the Etihad. Despite the team’s struggles all season long, it has enough quality to see off a shaky Newcastle team. Recent form for Eddie Howe’s team includes a loss to Liverpool, while City drew 2-2 with the Spurs.
H2H stats show that Man City has won each of its last 11 home games against Newcastle. The aggregate score advantage is insane – 37-3. That’s over three goals per game, which is something to keep in mind for the Etihad Stadium match preview.
Newcastle has won only one of its last seven matches, and come with a tough loss against Liverpool. The team’s recent form is not great, and it has been struggling on the road, winning two of its last 12 away games.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Odds and Betting Tips
The Carabao Cup semi-final predictions are clear – City is a major favorite. Since the moneyline doesn’t bring a lot of value, Canadian bettors should look at another angle.
- Tip 1: Manchester City to win and both teams to score. Newcastle must try and score since it’s two goals down from the first match, which leaves a lot of ground open for Manchester City’s blistering counter attacks.
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals or City to score 3. The Citizens play at home, have a fantastic record against the Magpies, and should have a dominant EFL Cup semi-final second leg. Historically, City’s scoring averages are over 3 goals at home against Newcastle.
- Tip 3: Back Semenyo and possibly Gordon to score. Haaland is in the mix, too, but the odds are lower than the other picks. Antoine Semenyo to score or assist is reasonably priced at the best betting sites in Canada.
Final Thoughts
As we get ready for the Carabao Cup 2026 finalists, there’s precisely one match to find Arsenal’s opponent. Manchester City has the best odds, leading from the first leg and entering the second as a favorite.
The Manchester City vs Newcastle odds are already live at the top Canadian sportsbooks at stakereviews. Find a bookmaker suitable to your needs, check out the markets, and use our guide for the top Man City vs Newcastle betting tips.
